Daily Coffee Report 7/27/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
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CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary
Dairy Team - Chicago
- Dairy
Perspective: Morning Commentary for July 27
July 27 – It was a quiet weekend for Iran, which investors interpreted as a sign that there’s still a chance for peace in the Middle East. Yet, Iran-backed Houthi rebels attacked Saudi Arabian oil facilities in the Red Sea, providing a reminder that risks remain significant. Even so, overnight market action again reflected sentiment that investors continue to read headlines through a filter of hope – desperately wanting to believe that peace is just around the corner. Commodity prices tumbled overnight while stock futures pushed higher, with the VIX slipping below 18 and the dollar index trading near 101.4. Yields on 10-year Treasuries traded near 4.65%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries traded near 4.32%. WTI crude oil is trading near $84 this morning, although that’s a couple of dollars off its session low, while Brent trades near $91 per barrel. The grain and oilseed markets were mostly weaker overnight as well, following crude oil prices lower, while also reacting to improving weather models for the Midwest as we approach the key crop development month of August.
Arlan Suderman
- Grains & Oilseeds
- Energy
- Dairy
- Renewable Fuels
- Cocoa
- Coffee
- Cotton
- Sugar
- Meats & Livestock
- Forest Products
FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)
Dollar expected to be influenced by FOMC interest rate decision, US/Brazil economic data, Middle East developments, and end-of-month PTAX figures
Leonel Mattos
- Currencies
Kevin Warsh Tests Federal Reserve Credibility
Kevin Warsh's unexpectedly hawkish rhetoric in his debut press conference has challenged assumptions about the future direction of U.S. monetary policy and raised fresh questions about how independent the Federal Reserve can remain when markets come under pressure. As Treasury yields climb and risk assets weaken, investors are increasingly weighing whether inflation control or financial stability will ultimately shape the Federal Reserve's next move.
Editorial Team
- Interest Rates
What Is Holding Back Oil, Hyperscaler Earnings and Tariff Volatility from Triggering Full Blown Trend?
We are not lacking for dramatic jolts of volatility these past weeks, but time and again these charges fall far short of the mark when it comes to redefining the market’s broader trend. Seasonal and structural complacency may be persistent but the fundamental risks are unrelenting.
John Kicklighter
- Currencies
Australian Beef Processors Test the Very Limits of Their Profitability
Australia is heading toward one of its largest cattle slaughter years on record, yet the outcome depends on processor margins rather than the supply of animals. As export values fall and cattle prices climb, the profitability math is what will decide how much beef the country actually produces.
Editorial Team
- Meats & Livestock
U.S. Corn Exports Gain From Shifting Global Trade
U.S. corn exports could gain support as Black Sea disruption and weaker European production redirect buyers toward alternative suppliers. Rising Brazilian ethanol demand may further strengthen the competitive position of US corn in the 2026 and 2027 marketing year.
Editorial Team
- Grains & Oilseeds
Daily Coffee Report 7/24/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
Perspective: Mid-Day Commentary for July 24
July 24 – Stocks have turned mixed into midday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq in the red while the Dow Jones and S&P 500 trade higher. Much of the recent weakness has centered on the tech sector as traders scrutinize the ongoing heavy AI expenditure, with the Nasdaq touching a new low since early May this morning, while other sectors continue to perform well. Meanwhile, the VIX is cooling into midday as it hovers around the 17.9 level at the time of writing. The dollar is effectively unchanged on the day near 101.4 after spiking to a fresh three-week high yesterday. Treasuries are taking a bit of a breather after the recent sharp rise in yields but remain elevated, with 10-year yields at 4.67% and 2-year yields at 4.32%. Crude oil is reversing course from its three-week surge as well, with nearby WTI down ~4.2% on the day to trade near $88.50 and nearby Brent down ~4.8% to trade near $95.80 at the time of writing. Traders will be keeping a close eye on potential escalations in the Middle East over the weekend, balancing reports of renewed attempts at peace talks against ongoing threats from both sides. The ags remain largely mixed, with soybeans and meal in the green but much of the remaining complex in the red, most notably on the wheat side which we’ll dive into in more depth below.
Mike Castle
- Grains & Oilseeds
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary
Dairy Team - Chicago
- Dairy
Oil Chart Patterns Reveal a Fragile Market Rally
Technical analysis remains highly relevant in crude oil markets, particularly when geopolitical headlines amplify volatility and investor sentiment. Brent crude's recent rally demonstrates how chart patterns and market psychology can help identify pivotal turning points before the next fundamental catalyst emerges.
Editorial Team
- Energy
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Upcoming events
Texas County Agricultural Agents Association Annual Meeting
Third party events|North America|Language: English
July 26 - July 29, 2026
Abilene, TX
StoneX is proud to be a Diamond sponsor of the 2026 Texas County Agricultural Agents Association Annual Meeting in Abilene.
We look forward to connecting with agricultural professionals from across the region and supporting an event that brings together industry expertise, professional development, and meaningful networking opportunities.
Visit the StoneX team onsite to explore how we support producers and agribusinesses through our LRP solutions, Farm Advantage offering, and timely insights from our Market Talk newsletter.
Minnesota Farmfest
Third party events|North America|Language: English
August 04 - August 06, 2026
Redwood County, MN
StoneX will be at the Minnesota Farmfest, Aug 4-6 in Redwood County, MN. Visit booth #C-2102 to explore StoneX’s Farm Advantage App, designed for agricultural producers and farmers to manage price risk, track margins, and make informed crop marketing decisions.
Louisville Grain Merchandiser Risk Academy
StoneX events|North America|Language: English
August 12 - August 13, 2026
Louisville, KY
Join us for an interactive program designed for merchandisers of all experience levels. Get valuable insights and actionable strategies to help you navigate the complex world of grain merchandising including topics like cash, futures, options, OTC market tools, hedging, basis, spreads, cash contracts and more.
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