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StoneX Convert Morning Desk Note – 2/12/2025

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StoneX Convert Morning Desk Note – 2/12/2025
 
Rob Weaver

Desk Analyst – Corporate Credit
StoneX Financial Inc.

NASDAQ: SNEX
332-227-5435


Top Axes:

image-20250212084014-1

 

Trading Recap:

So far this week, the SNEX converts desk traded BKNG 0 ¾ 05/01/25, FRT 3 ¼ 01/15/29, MCHP 0 ¾ 06/01/30, PCT 7 ¼ 08/15/30, REAL 4 02/15/31, and SMTC 1 ⅝ 11/01/27.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Announces private placement of $700.0 Million of 2.25% Unsecured Cvts due 2028 funded by subscription of existing 0% Cvts due 2029  (see details below). MKSI 1 ¼ 06/01/30 continues to trade higher $ ntrl, with bonds trading 101.30-101.50 vs. $110.64. SNAP 0 ⅛ 03/01/28. GRPN 6 1/4 03/15/27 traded up ½ pt $ ntrl. We remain axed here, vs 11.73 95 1/2 - 96 ¼.

Notes Below: SMCI & SNAP

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Announces private placement of $700.0 Million of 2.25% Unsecured Cvts due 2028 funded by subscription of existing 0% Cvts due 2029.

  • New Cvts will be priced at a 50% premium to tomorrows (2/12) close.
  • New Cvts will be provisionally callable after one year w/ a 150% trigger.
  • 7/15/28 maturity 
  • UOP: GCP

Existing Cvt will be amended to reset the coupon to 3.5% and the premium to 105% of tomorrows (2/12) close. Existing cvt holders will provide certain waivers.

  • Amendments effective and subscription to close 2/20. 

Business Update:

2Q (12/31/24) “Results”

  • Sales:  $5.6 billion to $5.7 billion v $5.8 billion consensus
  • Non-Gaap EPS $0.58 to $0.60 v  $0.64 consensus

3Q (3/31/25) Guide

  • Sales: $5.0 billion to $6.0 billion v $6.0 billion
  • Non-Gaap EPS $0.46 to $0.62 v  $0.69 consensus

F 2025 (6/30/25) Guide

  • $23.5 billion to $25 billion v $25 billion consensus

Approximate Balance Sheet at 12/31

Cash:                    $1.4 billion

Debt:

  Bank Debt         $0.2 billion

  Cvts 0% 29        $1.725 billion

    Total Debt       $1.9 billion

Accounting Update: Company believes it can file reports by 2/25/25

SEC DOJ Investigation: Company received subpoenas from both.

Snap Inc. (SNAP) Prices Upsized Straight Deal and Cvt Buyback

  • Deal upsized to $1.5bil from $700mm
  • 6.875% Coupon v “Low 7%” marketed
  • Due 2033
  • Senior Unsecured, subsidiary guarantees. Structurally senior to Cvts
  • B1, B+, BB (Fitch).
  • Cvt Repurchases: Aggregate UOP $1,445.1mm
    • $45.3mm in principal of 2026 Cvts 
    • $797.4mm in principal of 2027 Cvts
    • $800mm in principal of 2028 Cvts

Balance Sheet at 4Q and PF For New Nts

                                             4Q                         PF

Cash:                                $3,376     $30        $3,406                 

Debt:

$1.05bil Revolver       undrawn Unsecured, $80.7mm in LCs out, 5/27 maturity, S+75

Cvt 0.25% 5/25                      36                   36

Cvt 0.75% 8/26                    250    (45)        205

Cvt 0.0% 5/27                   1,150    (797)      353

Cvt 0.125% 3/28               1,500    (800)      700

Cvt 0.5% 5/30                       750                  750

  Total Debt                      $3,686   (1,642)  $2,044

Mkt Cap:                                                          $18,439

Cash Flow

($’sin millions)    2024      2023      2022

OCF                       414        247        185

Invst.                    (197)      (273)      (231)

FCF                        217        (26)        (46)

Description:

Snap believes the camera presents the greatest opportunity to improve the way people live and communicate. They contribute to human progress by empowering people to express themselves, live in the moment, learn about the world, and have fun together.

Pre-Mkt Convert Stock Movers:

image-20250212084014-2

 

Recent Notes – By Date

image-20250212084014-3

Desk Contacts:

Dave Sposito (Head of Desk) – 212-692-5172 – [email protected]

Zach Johannes (Trading) – 973-222-6189 - [email protected]

Denise Dalonzo (Sales) – 917-699-1630 - [email protected]                                             

Walter McNulty (Sales) – 203-219-5837 – [email protected]

Chris Frascella (Sales) – 203-912-7535 – [email protected]

Rob Weaver (Strategist) – 203-399-7023   – [email protected]

 

The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments, and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser. References to securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI.

The author(s) responsible for the preparation of this commentary hereby certify that all the views expressed herein accurately reflect their personal views only. The author also certifies that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

This commentary is not research or a recommendation and does not take into account whether any product or transaction is suitable for any particular client. SFI does not produce debt research and therefore this communication is not subject to all of the independence and disclosure standards and other requirements applicable to research reports under FINRA’s research rules. This document is intended for institutional investors only and is not subject to all of the independence and disclosure standards applicable to research reports prepared for retail investors. Clients should assume that this document is not independent of SFI’s proprietary interests. SFI trades, and will continue to trade, the securities covered in this document for its own account and on a discretionary basis on behalf of certain clients. Such trading interests may be contrary to or entered into in advance of this document.

No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The views are current only through the date stated and are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions, and StoneX Group Inc. disclaims any responsibility to update such views. This material represents an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

 

 

 
Related tags: Fixed Income

StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and is registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser.

This commentary is not research or a recommendation and does not take into account whether any product or transaction is suitable for any particular client. SFI does not produce debt research and therefore this communication is not subject to all of the independence and disclosure standards and other requirements applicable to research reports under FINRA’s research rules. This document is only intended for institutional investors, as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c), and is not subject to all of the independence and disclosure standards applicable to research reports prepared for retail investors. Clients should assume that this document is not independent of SFI’s proprietary interests. SFI trades, and will continue to trade, the securities covered in this document for its own account and on a discretionary basis on behalf of certain clients. Such trading interests may be contrary to or entered into in advance of this document.


No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The views are current only through the date stated and are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions, and StoneX Group Inc. disclaims any responsibility to update such views. This material represents an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.



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