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11/20/2024 End of Day Fertilizer Market Update

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11/20/2024 End of Day Fertilizer Market Update

 
  • Josh Linville
  • Vice President - Fertilizer
  • StoneX Financial Inc. - FCM Division
  • [email protected]

International

  • If you haven't seen it yet, Mike sent out the October China trade report earlier today

    • Certainly some things that caught our attention

      • Urea exports were 3,500 tons...no that is not a typo.  I am not missing a 0.  Only 3,500 tons.  Continues to back our massive supply hole due to their export approach.
      • DAP/MAP exports fell to "only" 551K tons.  That is about 30% lower than their average October.
      • They continued to gobble up potash, bringing in 974K tons and keeping them well ahead of cumulative schedule.
  • Otherwise, we continue to sit and wait.
  • Paper trades today
    • January Middle East Urea Paper - $330 / $330 

 

North America

  • "insert very little fall run/application done across the Midwest here"
  • The calendar does not say we will not have a fall run, it just says it is going to be harder
    • Over 22 years, I have seen this industry do some pretty amazing things
    • Give the industry 2 weeks and it will knock your socks off
  • Paper trades today
    • January NOLA Urea Paper - $317
    • March NOLA UAN Paper - $236
  • Physical trades today
    • None observed

image-20241120155146-1

Related tags: Fertilizers

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