Futuros de Cafe Cerraron en Baja
Los futuros de café extendieron su caída hoy, con los precios del arábica cerrando cerca de los bajos de la sesión, ahora 28.75 centavos por debajo del alto de ayer en marzo 2025. La actividad comercial se mantuvo muy limitada, con informes desde los países de origen que indican que los mercados internos han estado prácticamente paralizados durante los últimos dos días debido a la alta volatilidad en el mercado C.
De cara al futuro, se espera que los compradores de la industria comiencen a aparecer entre 305 y 285, un rango que coincide con los promedios móviles de 20 y 50 días. Aumentando la incertidumbre, circulan noticias de otra casa comercial que estima la cosecha de arábica de Brasil 2025/2026 en 40 millones de sacos. Este amplio rango de estimaciones probablemente mantendrá la incertidumbre en el mercado y generará volatilidad continua en los precios.
El mercado ahora enfrenta el desafío de descontar la cosecha futura en el precio mientras raciona la demanda de arábica en consecuencia. Como referencia, ya sabemos que marzo 2025 alcanzó un alto de 348.35, y el switch U5/Z5 llego a una prima de 13.65 centavos. Mientras tanto, el arbitraje arábica/robusta alcanzó un alto cercano a 100 centavos, cual se redujo a 87 centavos en el comercio de hoy.
Al momento de escribir este artículo:
USDBRL 5.9551 -1.52%
USDCOP 4,374.612 +0.14%
Miami London Brazil
305-925-4847 +44-203-580-6099 +55-11-3509-5426
ICE Arabica
Volume:
46,475
ICE Robusta
Volume:
16,340
Brazil Arabica
Volume:
810
Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage
Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage
Arabica Switches
Robusta Switches
The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. References to over-the-counter (“OTC”) products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets LLC (“SXM”), a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ (“ECP”) and who have been accepted as customers of SXM. StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser. References to securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI . StoneX is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd (“SFL”). SFL is registered in England and Wales, Company No. 5616586. SFL is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 446717] to provide to professional and eligible customers including: arrangement, execution and, where required, clearing derivative transactions in exchange traded futures and options. SFL is also authorised to engage in the arrangement and execution of transactions in certain OTC products, certain securities trading, precious metals trading and payment services to eligible customers. SFL is authorised & regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Payment Services Regulations 2017 for the provision of payment services. SFL is a category 1 ring-dealing member of the London Metal Exchange. In addition SFL also engages in other physically delivered commodities business and other general business activities which are unregulated and not required to be authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority. StoneX Group Inc. acts as agent for SFL in New York with respect to its payments services business. StoneX APAC Pte. Ltd. acts as agent for SFL in Singapore with respect to its payments services business. ‘StoneX’ is the trade name used by StoneX Group Inc. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries.
Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance of any futures or option is not indicative of future success. Indicators are not a trading system and are not published as a specific trade recommendation. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.
© 2024 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Discover more insights
